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Oct 10, 2012
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the gallup poll, for instance, has romney doing five points better. other polls have that a little smaller. so it seems like obama would even today win an election if everyone registered to vote turned out or certainly all adults. but based on the republican enthusiasm advantage and some democrats, i think, feeling a little disupon dent after the president's performance in denver last week, that alone might be enough to push romney over the top. >> the special way that you sort of distill the candidate's chances at 538, your now cast factors in not just polling but also economic data and other measures that you think give you a percentage chance that one of the two candidates will win the election. what's the percentage chance you have for each of the candidates and has that changed less than the national polls changed? >> the percentage is a 70/30 advantage for obama. which, by the way, if you go to vegas or offshore versions of vegas, you can bet at about those odds. obama is a 70% favorite. but my site had obama as an 85% favorite before the debate
the gallup poll, for instance, has romney doing five points better. other polls have that a little smaller. so it seems like obama would even today win an election if everyone registered to vote turned out or certainly all adults. but based on the republican enthusiasm advantage and some democrats, i think, feeling a little disupon dent after the president's performance in denver last week, that alone might be enough to push romney over the top. >> the special way that you sort of distill...
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Oct 12, 2012
10/12
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. >>> now democracy 2012 news, good news for mitt romney, poll out of florida shows he has an edge over president obama. a cnn orc international poll says paul ryan came out on top last night. we will have more on that coming up. >>> candidates maybe vying for popularity points, but this guy doesn't need more popularity, big bird. romney mentioned the character, orders for costumes have been surging all over the country. the retail price is between 40- $100 for big bird suit. store owners expect prices to rise because of the great demand. >>> when you shop for pet food you see all sorts of eye catching claims to pick one product over another. what do all natural or ultra premium mean. how do you know what is best for your breast friends? brian kuebler brings the scoop to make sure you get what you are paying for. >> reporter: alaina tried ten different dog foods for her dog, happy, she researched ingredients, searched labels to finds one that didn't upset his stomach. >> it was frustrating trying to figure out what the claims were actually trying to say. >> reporter: when it comes to pe
. >>> now democracy 2012 news, good news for mitt romney, poll out of florida shows he has an edge over president obama. a cnn orc international poll says paul ryan came out on top last night. we will have more on that coming up. >>> candidates maybe vying for popularity points, but this guy doesn't need more popularity, big bird. romney mentioned the character, orders for costumes have been surging all over the country. the retail price is between 40- $100 for big bird suit....
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Oct 9, 2012
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it is very telling a poll has romney up slightly beyond the margin of error. we are talking about the ones that are extremely likely to vote. romney among all of the voters are extremely likely to vote. he was up by 6 three weeks ago down by 3. that's a nine-point swing among people who will surely be out there on el lek day. i think right now the race is tied with romney still i think having some of the momentum from the debate and i think the rest of the story will be determined the remaining debate. >> before you leave the house this morning let's get your first degree weather update with maria molina. >> good to see you. we are talking about cool temperatures across parts of the midwest the great lakes northeast and even down into portions of the south once again. take a look at some of the current temperatures across the northeast. 36 in syracuse 37 in during ton. we have a number of freeze warnings in effect and also frost advisories from parts of up state new york through central portions of tennessee. lingering showers off of portions of new york city
it is very telling a poll has romney up slightly beyond the margin of error. we are talking about the ones that are extremely likely to vote. romney among all of the voters are extremely likely to vote. he was up by 6 three weeks ago down by 3. that's a nine-point swing among people who will surely be out there on el lek day. i think right now the race is tied with romney still i think having some of the momentum from the debate and i think the rest of the story will be determined the remaining...
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Oct 9, 2012
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just last month in the same poll, romney trailed by eight points. driving romney surge, a spike in republican enthusiasm, more republicans made it through pew's likely voter screen than democrats. and a larger group of registered voters, the candidates are tied at 46. while it's unlikely returns on election day make it unlikely in this pew sample that romney has the upper hand. and looking inside the pew numbers, we're looking at an unlikely -- now romney leads by six, 50-44. will we see that same shift in the battleground state polls? we'll have to see what happened what happens. >> this is the last day for voters to register to vote there, that's why they're both there. romney kicks off a two-day ohio journey, he'll be back in ohio again on friday. meanwhile the president holds an evening rally at ohio state university in columbus. by the way romney starts his day on a family farm in central iowa. another midwestern battleground state. paul ryan does his debate prep today in florida. the vice president signalled a new urgency to voters saying, quo
just last month in the same poll, romney trailed by eight points. driving romney surge, a spike in republican enthusiasm, more republicans made it through pew's likely voter screen than democrats. and a larger group of registered voters, the candidates are tied at 46. while it's unlikely returns on election day make it unlikely in this pew sample that romney has the upper hand. and looking inside the pew numbers, we're looking at an unlikely -- now romney leads by six, 50-44. will we see that...
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Oct 15, 2012
10/12
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mitt romney is leading in ten of the battleground states in politico's poll. trailing in the washington post political poll. what's your thought? does the governor think he can become the first republican to win without taking ohio? >> we're going to take ohio. the ground game that we put together there is exceedingly doing very, very well in terms of the number of contacts both on the phone and door to door. as you noted, he's been there quite a number of times. i think we continue to make up grounds. some of the polls have it tied. so i think in the final weeks we'll continue to make this about a clear choice in the election and governor romney will take ohio. >> take us into the back room for a second. without ohio you need to run the board here. what are your internals showing on that? how do you get florida and virginia? those are looking good? >> florida and virginia are looking good. nevada is looking great. colorado is looking great. iowa and new hampshire is looking very good as well. so i think, a, as i mentioned, i think we're going to take ohio. b,
mitt romney is leading in ten of the battleground states in politico's poll. trailing in the washington post political poll. what's your thought? does the governor think he can become the first republican to win without taking ohio? >> we're going to take ohio. the ground game that we put together there is exceedingly doing very, very well in terms of the number of contacts both on the phone and door to door. as you noted, he's been there quite a number of times. i think we continue to...
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Oct 8, 2012
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it appears that in one poll, in the pew poll, mitt romney is up against the president and in the gallup seven-day tracking poll, the president is up 50 to 45, if i have mitt romney's number right in that poll. this race has been, is, and will continue to be until election day a very close race. and so either side can take heart in a poll that shows his or her candidate being on top but, remember, this race is basically tied. >> now, the vice presidential debate, the one and only one, will be be this thursday night and paul ryan, the republican vice presidential nominee, was questioning his weekend on what he was doing to prepare for the debate. here's his response. >> how you feeling about the debate? >> what debate? oh, yeah. i better get ready for that. >> you know, i better get started. you just reminded me. no, it's going well. >> what are you looking for in that debate, marge, on thursday night? >> well, first of all, paul ryan should focus on explaining the math. that's something he dismissed when asked about it on fox news about a week or two ago. >> right. >> so he should now fi
it appears that in one poll, in the pew poll, mitt romney is up against the president and in the gallup seven-day tracking poll, the president is up 50 to 45, if i have mitt romney's number right in that poll. this race has been, is, and will continue to be until election day a very close race. and so either side can take heart in a poll that shows his or her candidate being on top but, remember, this race is basically tied. >> now, the vice presidential debate, the one and only one, will...
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Oct 13, 2012
10/12
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big jump, 4 out of 5 polls, mitt romney and paul ryan lead. have you big poll numbers in florida and virginia, showing people in just a second. abc and cbs admits the ticket is gaining ground, post debate. nbc, no, not much of an impact at ms-nbc. >> florida, ohio and virginia, battleground states. what we see on the screen, a tight, tight, dead heat in florida and in virginia. in ohio, you still see the president hanging on to a lead. i guess you could say that romney has the trend line, but ohio is still a problem. >> another factor in all three of these polls, over 90% said the debate made no difference. 6, 7 and 7% respectively who said the debates mattered to their vote. that is, not as helpful to romney as he might have hoped. >> the debate has not as much of an impact. >> sean: i was thinking that if joe biden loses and 25 day, i am thinking that nbc news -- it's a perfect place for an unhinged, over-the-top, extreme leftist. he would be perfect over there. >> chuck todd, the political director of nbc news labeled the rasmussen poll, qu
big jump, 4 out of 5 polls, mitt romney and paul ryan lead. have you big poll numbers in florida and virginia, showing people in just a second. abc and cbs admits the ticket is gaining ground, post debate. nbc, no, not much of an impact at ms-nbc. >> florida, ohio and virginia, battleground states. what we see on the screen, a tight, tight, dead heat in florida and in virginia. in ohio, you still see the president hanging on to a lead. i guess you could say that romney has the trend line,...
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Oct 14, 2012
10/12
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what do we expect from the obama/mitt romney rematch . the look at romney poll's surge. will the liar, liar strategy work? and congratulational hearing on libya shed new light on what happened in the attack on benghazi and raise new questions about the administration's response. welcome to the journal editorial report. i am paul gigot. all eyes were on the vice-presidential district attorney bait. the two spared over everything from iran and medicare reform and middle class taxes. >> the middle class got knocked on their heels and the great recession crushed them and they need help now. the last people who need help is 120,000 families for another 500 billion dollar tax cut over the next 10 years. >> there are not enough rich people and small businesses to tax to pay for the pending. next time you hear them say don't worry about. we'll get the wealthy people to pay their fair share watch out, the tax bill is coming to you. >> with us is dan, and collumist bill, and jason riley and washington columist kim strassel. >> he was doing what he was asked to do which is to energ
what do we expect from the obama/mitt romney rematch . the look at romney poll's surge. will the liar, liar strategy work? and congratulational hearing on libya shed new light on what happened in the attack on benghazi and raise new questions about the administration's response. welcome to the journal editorial report. i am paul gigot. all eyes were on the vice-presidential district attorney bait. the two spared over everything from iran and medicare reform and middle class taxes. >> the...
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Oct 9, 2012
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he gave absolutely no specifics. >> polls are now split on romney's popularity. pugh has him up four points among likely voters. the positive jobs report gave president obama a five point boost. according to hispanic voters in california, president obama moves to ohio today claiming romney's debate performance was more style than substance. >> what was being presented wasn't leadership. that's salesmanship. governor romney's plan is to let wall street run wild again but he's going to bring the hammer down on sesame street. >> the president has no new ideas. >> both vice-presidential candidates are practicing for thursday's debate. paul ryan is in florida after studying after four days in a woodsy virginia camp. vice president biden is at home in delaware focusing on ryan's speeches and his budget. >>> national hospital is reporting yet another death from the meningitis outbreak. if confirmed, it would be the fifth deadly case in tennessee. that is the ninth nationally. at least 105 people in nine states from minnesota to florida have been affected. the cdc now be
he gave absolutely no specifics. >> polls are now split on romney's popularity. pugh has him up four points among likely voters. the positive jobs report gave president obama a five point boost. according to hispanic voters in california, president obama moves to ohio today claiming romney's debate performance was more style than substance. >> what was being presented wasn't leadership. that's salesmanship. governor romney's plan is to let wall street run wild again but he's going...
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a reuters poll found the president leads romney 59% to 39%. others say younger voters may be the target when president obama makes his second appearance to face political jokes from jon stewart on "the daily show." and bruce springsteen will sing at an obama rally in ohio, and bill clinton will be speaking at the event. >>> supporters of big bird who want to save "sesame street" are planning a million muppets march in washington only three days before the election. and now from the non-scientific file of predicting political winners, reuters reports that based on past elections, if ohio state wins its football game against illinois november 3rd, incumbents including the president could get a small boost on election day, but the opposite effected could happen from sharp attacks reducing votes in states like florida. huh? >>> and saturday night live took on the vice presidential debate making fun of joe biden's frequent laughs and interruptions and paul ryan's complaint about it. >> i know you're under a lot of duress to make up from lost ground
a reuters poll found the president leads romney 59% to 39%. others say younger voters may be the target when president obama makes his second appearance to face political jokes from jon stewart on "the daily show." and bruce springsteen will sing at an obama rally in ohio, and bill clinton will be speaking at the event. >>> supporters of big bird who want to save "sesame street" are planning a million muppets march in washington only three days before the election....
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Oct 9, 2012
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>> the title has three meanings, but we get stuck on one, thanks to mitt romney and paul ryan. why does it happen that 90% of identified republicans according to the gallup poll are white in a country that is now 62% non- hispanic white? looking at this house some moved away towards the democratic party, and what -- looking at how some moved away towards the democratic party. they were very good at taking some of the chaos of the 1960's, using it against the democrats, and convincing these middle- class people that government had been identified with the interests of minorities and the poor and was not working for them anymore and luring them over to become the republican base. that title gets a lot of attention, because we have seen such a rationalized -- such a campaign, particularly as mitt romney and paul ryan use welface that is -- use a version of welfare that is blackface. it may not be working for them. tavis: the subtitle is no less provocative. "why we long for a golden age that never was." a majority of americans that believe our best days are behind us. there are ma
>> the title has three meanings, but we get stuck on one, thanks to mitt romney and paul ryan. why does it happen that 90% of identified republicans according to the gallup poll are white in a country that is now 62% non- hispanic white? looking at this house some moved away towards the democratic party, and what -- looking at how some moved away towards the democratic party. they were very good at taking some of the chaos of the 1960's, using it against the democrats, and convincing...
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Oct 13, 2012
10/12
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CNN
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poll after poll shows momentum building behind the romney/ryan tukt and there's pressure on the president now to wrap up his game for the three-week sprint to election day. let's bring in our correspondent, we're getting reaction to the vice presidential debate, more comments coming in. but the president has his mission cut out for him right now. dan? >> he really does. we just have to look back to right after the debate where the president turned up his volume, strongly aggressively going after his gop opponents. but what we saw this week at the university of miami on thursday at a big rally there was the president even turning up the volume a bit more. attacking mitt romney for what the president says was his changing position on a whole host of issues, including taxes. take a listen. >> he's trying to go through an extreme makeover. after running for more than a year in which he called himself severely conservative, mitt romney is trying to convince you that he was severely kidding. >> i was talking to a senior campaign official about the tone of the president's rally and this official
poll after poll shows momentum building behind the romney/ryan tukt and there's pressure on the president now to wrap up his game for the three-week sprint to election day. let's bring in our correspondent, we're getting reaction to the vice presidential debate, more comments coming in. but the president has his mission cut out for him right now. dan? >> he really does. we just have to look back to right after the debate where the president turned up his volume, strongly aggressively...
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Oct 15, 2012
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and romney now leads in the national polls and you closed the gap in a lot of other polls. where do you think the race is at now? >> the race is close. the wind is clearly on governor romney's back. the country is lienl evenly divided. david axelrod and i don't agree with much. we couldn't agree on a stopped clock what time it is. we do agree this will be a close race, i believe the momentum s on governor romney's side and he will win in november. >> chris: thank you for coming in today. safe travels on the cam feign trail. >> thank you. >> chris: up next, the sunday panel panel. what to expect when romney and obama meet again on tuesday. >>> we have a fundamentally different vision for america and quite frankly a fundamentally different value set. >> the president is simply saying more of the same. hope and change has become attack and blame. >> chris: that was vice president biden and congressman ryan still arguing their case to voters the day after their debate. and it is time for our sunday group. brit hume fox news senior political analyst. bob woodward of the washingt
and romney now leads in the national polls and you closed the gap in a lot of other polls. where do you think the race is at now? >> the race is close. the wind is clearly on governor romney's back. the country is lienl evenly divided. david axelrod and i don't agree with much. we couldn't agree on a stopped clock what time it is. we do agree this will be a close race, i believe the momentum s on governor romney's side and he will win in november. >> chris: thank you for coming in...
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Oct 14, 2012
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and romney now leads in the national polls and you closed the gap in a lot of other polls. where do you think the race is at now? >> the race is close. the wind is clearly on governor romney's back. the country is lienl evenly divided. david axelrod and i don't agree with much. we couldn't agree on a stopped clock what time it is. we do agree this will be a close race, i believe the momentum s on governor romney's side and he will win in november. >> chris: thank you for coming in today. safe travels on the cam feign trail. >> thank you. >> chris: up next, the sunday panel panel. what to expect when romney and obama meet again on tuesday. ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ that should do it. enjoy your new shower. [ door opens, closes ] i have a cold... i took dayquil, but i still have a runny nose. [ male announcer ] truth is, dayquil doesn't work on runny noses. what? [ male announcer ] it doesn't have an antihistamine. really? [ male announcer ] really. alka-seltzer plus ld and c fights your worst cold symptoms, plus has a fast acting antihistamine to relieve your runny nose. [ sighs ] tha
and romney now leads in the national polls and you closed the gap in a lot of other polls. where do you think the race is at now? >> the race is close. the wind is clearly on governor romney's back. the country is lienl evenly divided. david axelrod and i don't agree with much. we couldn't agree on a stopped clock what time it is. we do agree this will be a close race, i believe the momentum s on governor romney's side and he will win in november. >> chris: thank you for coming in...
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Oct 10, 2012
10/12
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romney up by 4 points in the pew poll. in the swing states, mr. romney leading in colorado by 4. mr. obama leading in pennsylvania by 2, the right poll showing a tie in nevada. the president up in new hampshire by 6 points. and really the one poll we waited on all day, the one poll that might matter more than any other single piece of data, the one piece we got today, president obama holding on to a 4-point lead in ohio. let's poll this one out. this is a cnn number from this afternoon. barack obama with an edge of 4 points in ohio, which is just outside the margin of error. it's far less than the 9-point leads in the survey not long ago. i should say to democrats and obama supporters, i'm sorry if i unleashed those numbers on you with a mature content warning label. but my friend e.j. dionne will be with us later. he says, i was talking with an old friend who was one of the nonpartisan polling outfits. we were discussing the large shifts in some of the polls on the presidential election and the feedback he receives whenever he puts out new numbers that make one side or the other
romney up by 4 points in the pew poll. in the swing states, mr. romney leading in colorado by 4. mr. obama leading in pennsylvania by 2, the right poll showing a tie in nevada. the president up in new hampshire by 6 points. and really the one poll we waited on all day, the one poll that might matter more than any other single piece of data, the one piece we got today, president obama holding on to a 4-point lead in ohio. let's poll this one out. this is a cnn number from this afternoon. barack...
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Oct 11, 2012
10/12
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there's a new nbc wall street journal poll which shows romney made gains in the swing states of virginia, florida, and ohio. the largest in virginia, where now he's ahead of the president. now more from brandi hitt. >> the second round belongs to the running mates. >> i feel good about it. >> paul ryan and vice president joe biden say they are ready to go toe to toe in danville, kentucky. >> i have been studying his positions. >> and there is a critical time in the campaign. >> i've been in business 25 years. i have no idea what you are talking about. >> last week mitt romney dominated in his first debate against president obama. the president even admitted he had a bad night. >> your supporters have been saying you did not show up. >> there's no doubt i can make a better case, which is why i so look forward to tuesday. >> is it possible you gave up your reelection that night. >> no. >> we cannot afford another series of budget deficits of roughly $1 trillion per year. this is not just bad for the economy. it's bad for jobs. >> brandi hitt, abc news, ky. >> during tonight's debate, log o
there's a new nbc wall street journal poll which shows romney made gains in the swing states of virginia, florida, and ohio. the largest in virginia, where now he's ahead of the president. now more from brandi hitt. >> the second round belongs to the running mates. >> i feel good about it. >> paul ryan and vice president joe biden say they are ready to go toe to toe in danville, kentucky. >> i have been studying his positions. >> and there is a critical time in the...
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Oct 9, 2012
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has effectively closed the gender gap according to one poll. romney stands even with the president among female voters in the latest pugh survey. should romney end up getting more of the female vote than the president does in the general, he'd be the first republican to do that in 24 years. want to sound smart today, tell your friends the last republican presidential candidate to win the female vote, george h.w. bush. they favored him over michael dukakis by a single percentage point that day. the number of female voters xeeted every male voter in every presidential election since 1964. >>> all right, let's huddle up around the water cooler to take a crack at the conspiracy theories that were around after the release of the jobs report. >> folks, this .3% drop in the unemployment rate seems just a little too barely better to be true. >> maybe it's a coincidence. the month before the election we have a number that comes out .1 below when the president took office. >> i'm going to go with jack welch on this one. >> how convenient that the rate dr
has effectively closed the gender gap according to one poll. romney stands even with the president among female voters in the latest pugh survey. should romney end up getting more of the female vote than the president does in the general, he'd be the first republican to do that in 24 years. want to sound smart today, tell your friends the last republican presidential candidate to win the female vote, george h.w. bush. they favored him over michael dukakis by a single percentage point that day....
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Oct 14, 2012
10/12
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and romney now leads in the national polls and you closed the gap in a lot of other polls. where do you think the race is at now? >> the race is close. the wind is clearly on governor romney's back. the country is lienl evenly divided. david axelrod and i don't agree with much. we couldn't agree on a stopped clock what time it is. we do agree this will be a close race, i believe the momentum s on governor romney's side and he will win in november. >> chris: thank you for coming in today. safe travels on the cam feign trail. >> thank you. >> chris: up next, the sunday panel panel. what to expect when romney and obama meet again on tuesday. >> announcer: meet jill. she thought she'd feel better after seeing her doctor. and she might have, if not for kari, the identity thief who stole jill's social security number to open credit cards, destroying jill's credit and her dream of retirement. now meet amanda. with a swipe of her debit card, she bought some gas... and an all-expense-paid trip to hawaii for ben. ben is the intity thief who used a device called a skimmer to steal her
and romney now leads in the national polls and you closed the gap in a lot of other polls. where do you think the race is at now? >> the race is close. the wind is clearly on governor romney's back. the country is lienl evenly divided. david axelrod and i don't agree with much. we couldn't agree on a stopped clock what time it is. we do agree this will be a close race, i believe the momentum s on governor romney's side and he will win in november. >> chris: thank you for coming in...
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rival mitt romney is closer than ever. nbc's tracie potts has more from washington. good morning to you. >> reporter: good morning. they're raising a lot of money, too. which is why we'll see more of those ads. romney today in iowa and ohio. speaking of campaign slogans, turns out he may end up repeating a new one he coined yesterday. we first heard it on monday. he argued president obama's policies made the world more dangerous. >> the risk of conflict in the region is higher now than when the president took office. >> reporter: romney promised to create one person to deal with the middle east, arm syria's rebels, sanction iran if needed, expand the navy and push free trade. democrats weren't impressed. >> i'm a professor. if one of my students turned it in, they would get a c because he gave absolutely no specifics. >> reporter: pew has it up four points, gallup says the positive jobs report gave president obama a five-point boost. courting hispanics there, but he also said that mitt romney's debate was more style over s
rival mitt romney is closer than ever. nbc's tracie potts has more from washington. good morning to you. >> reporter: good morning. they're raising a lot of money, too. which is why we'll see more of those ads. romney today in iowa and ohio. speaking of campaign slogans, turns out he may end up repeating a new one he coined yesterday. we first heard it on monday. he argued president obama's policies made the world more dangerous. >> the risk of conflict in the region is higher now...
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Oct 10, 2012
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WUSA
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he's 49 and obama 47 in the polls. in ohio, 48/47, romney. a new cnn poll has obama ahead. all those polls within the margin of error is close. romney's family reportedly won a fight with campaign handlers leading to a candidate telling more personal stories this week. tuesday night he spoke of inadvertently crashing a party and meeting a former navy seal. >> i just learned a few days ago that he was one of the two former navy seals killed in ben ghazi and it broke my heart. >> we've got some work to do. we've got an election to win. >> reporter: the president was also in ohio, his 17th rally there, touting new jobs numbers. >> this past friday we found out the employment rate had fallen from 10% to -- the lowest number since i took office. >> reporter: the disappointment, bill clinton said, to republicans who fought jobs plans. >> you've got to feel some sympathy with them because they worked so hard to keep unemployment above 8% and they got above two months of getting the job done. it almost makes you want to cry for the disappointment that they face. it really broke the
he's 49 and obama 47 in the polls. in ohio, 48/47, romney. a new cnn poll has obama ahead. all those polls within the margin of error is close. romney's family reportedly won a fight with campaign handlers leading to a candidate telling more personal stories this week. tuesday night he spoke of inadvertently crashing a party and meeting a former navy seal. >> i just learned a few days ago that he was one of the two former navy seals killed in ben ghazi and it broke my heart. >>...
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Oct 7, 2012
10/12
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CSPAN
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before that, if you look at the polling in the country, it was pretty much tied. generics were really tight. maybe up one could after august 11, when governor romney decided to double down on the republican plan to and medicare to fund tax cuts for millionaires and big oil companies, it began to spread. instead of being in a neutral environment, we were up 1, 2 and 3. and then when todd aitken express' those horrific fox -- expressed those for fifth thoughts about rape, it raised it even more. and then independent voters in particular were reminded how extreme these people are and that these people have priorities that would in fact and in medicare in order to fund tax cuts for millionaires. the more republican ideas art articulated, the better we do in the polls. if the generics keep spreading, five or six or more, then we win back the house. there is a direct correlation between the generic pooling and our ability to win back the house. right now, it is going in the right direction. >> the emerging strategy seems to be attacking republicans -- attaching republic
before that, if you look at the polling in the country, it was pretty much tied. generics were really tight. maybe up one could after august 11, when governor romney decided to double down on the republican plan to and medicare to fund tax cuts for millionaires and big oil companies, it began to spread. instead of being in a neutral environment, we were up 1, 2 and 3. and then when todd aitken express' those horrific fox -- expressed those for fifth thoughts about rape, it raised it even more....
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Oct 12, 2012
10/12
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KQED
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doug schwartz runs quinnipiac universitys polling institute. >> right now, pew has romney up by three points. gallup has obama up by five points in their seven-day track, but since the debate they have obama up by just three points. >> reporter: or how about old friend ray fair, an economist we've been visiting every four years since the george h.w. bush administration. he's got an economic model. >> so right at this moment, its 49.5% of the two-party vote for obama. >> reporter: so the polls and models call it a toss-up. but curiously, the betting public tells a very different story. online betting prediction markets, like ireland's intrade, which takes bets from americans, and england's betfair, which doesnt, have made obama the strong favorite for months. the lone domestic and entirely legal betting haven, the iowa electronic maets at the university of iowa. ever frugal, we asked hari srinivasan, our man in the midwest-- at least last week-- to drop in. >> sreenivasan: this is the entire iowa electronic market? >> this is our server room right here. >> sreenivasan: so the entire pr
doug schwartz runs quinnipiac universitys polling institute. >> right now, pew has romney up by three points. gallup has obama up by five points in their seven-day track, but since the debate they have obama up by just three points. >> reporter: or how about old friend ray fair, an economist we've been visiting every four years since the george h.w. bush administration. he's got an economic model. >> so right at this moment, its 49.5% of the two-party vote for obama. >>...
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Oct 14, 2012
10/12
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MSNBC
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people on twitter critique each poll. you have a run of romney polls that are good for him. people perceive patterns and random noise all the time. at the end of the day, if you digest everything with a coke of whiskey, whatever you want, you have time to add more perspective. we have more important and dramatic days with shifts in the race. most of the time, especially in the summer, it adds up to nothing. it was the same story, day after day after day. >> it was important to look at the average of polls. i think it's what happens at five thirty eight. there are other polls. i think one of the things i have to be careful of as consumers of polls is you can't trust a single or individual poll. gallup is doing a tracking poll, it's a trend. if you look at gallup and pugh, they found conflicting results by a difference of six percentage points. you can't trust any single poll. you have to go to the average. >> are we doing no more now that we have more polling? is it the case we have a more accurate sense because of a larger body of data, we can average it out, sitting here 25
people on twitter critique each poll. you have a run of romney polls that are good for him. people perceive patterns and random noise all the time. at the end of the day, if you digest everything with a coke of whiskey, whatever you want, you have time to add more perspective. we have more important and dramatic days with shifts in the race. most of the time, especially in the summer, it adds up to nothing. it was the same story, day after day after day. >> it was important to look at the...
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Oct 9, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWSW
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what started as a slow trickle in polls, heading romney's way turned in to quite something else tonight. while it's not a full gusher of strong poll numbers yet for the republican nominee. things are moving his direction. across the country. mitt romney now has take an two-point lead over the president in the latest gallup poll of likely voters. 49% to 47%. for the first time since last october, romney leads in the real clear politic average of polls, the national average. the numbers 48 to 47.3. we have fox team coverage of the race for the presidency. chief white house correspondent ed henry is traveling with the president in columbus, ohio. chief political correspondent carl cameron is with the romney campaign. across the way in cuyahoga falls. >> reporter: mr. romney stormed in the buckeye state. for the first time since the democratic convention in early september, he is either tied, in some cases now leading in the polls. surging in both national and battle ground state polls the latest american research group poll shows romney ahead in colorado 50 to 46. ohio, romney at 48. to pr
what started as a slow trickle in polls, heading romney's way turned in to quite something else tonight. while it's not a full gusher of strong poll numbers yet for the republican nominee. things are moving his direction. across the country. mitt romney now has take an two-point lead over the president in the latest gallup poll of likely voters. 49% to 47%. for the first time since last october, romney leads in the real clear politic average of polls, the national average. the numbers 48 to...
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143
Oct 15, 2012
10/12
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MSNBCW
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eye 143
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mayor, there is a georgia poll, 51/53 romney? >> no, about 51 romney, 47, 48 president obama. >> you think there is a little more of a hidden democrat vote there? >> no question. i think it will be closer. president obama got 48% of the vote in 2008. the numbers are going to be pretty consistent in the upcoming election. >> really, kasim reed, mayor of atlanta, thank you for coming on. >> thank you for having me, chuck. >>> all right. we're hearing from a romney advic adviser jim talent, next. >>> plus -- >> i lead with a great optimism for our country and continuie vital role of our democracy. >> one of the long-time impactful senators of his generation, remembering the late pennsylvania senator arlen specter. first, a look ahead at the schedules of mitt romney and president obama today. as you know, they are both holed up in the debate camp. you're watching the daily rundown, only on msnbc. [ humming ] [ humming ] [ male announcer ] kraft macaroni & cheese. you know you love it. oh, hey alex. just picking up some, brochures, po
mayor, there is a georgia poll, 51/53 romney? >> no, about 51 romney, 47, 48 president obama. >> you think there is a little more of a hidden democrat vote there? >> no question. i think it will be closer. president obama got 48% of the vote in 2008. the numbers are going to be pretty consistent in the upcoming election. >> really, kasim reed, mayor of atlanta, thank you for coming on. >> thank you for having me, chuck. >>> all right. we're hearing from a...
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Oct 11, 2012
10/12
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WUSA
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polls mitt romney -- polls show mitt romney has a one-point lead in colorado. >> you can watch the debate right here on wusa9 beginning at 9:00 p.m. "u.s.a. today" reporters will blog online about what the candidates say and at wusa9.com, you can participate in that conversation via facebook and twitter. then at 11:00, join derek and anita as they fact check what the candidates say with the "u.s.a. today" fact checking team. >>> there's some very important deadlines coming up if you plan on voting in november's election. you have just a few more days to register to vote. in virginia you have til monday, october 15. october 16, tuesday, is the deadline in maryland. in d.c. the mail-in registration deadline has passed but you can still register in person at the d.c. election board's headquarters. the deadline for that is friday, october 19. for more information on voter registration, go to our week site wusa9.com and look under our campaign 2000 tab -- campaign 2012 tab. >>> it's 5:06. time for the latest your money report of the morning. >> that's why jessica is here talking about the head
polls mitt romney -- polls show mitt romney has a one-point lead in colorado. >> you can watch the debate right here on wusa9 beginning at 9:00 p.m. "u.s.a. today" reporters will blog online about what the candidates say and at wusa9.com, you can participate in that conversation via facebook and twitter. then at 11:00, join derek and anita as they fact check what the candidates say with the "u.s.a. today" fact checking team. >>> there's some very important...
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Oct 11, 2012
10/12
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FBC
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the latest fox poll 6 point swing to romney and the maris poll in swing states? virginia and florida, and catching up in ohio. with 12 hours to the biden-ryan debate, if gaffe prone joe loses, that's the obama team. and if ryan loses, and don't worry says timothy geithner, america is better better than expectationed and the libyan problem not messaged once on the front of the newspaper. and that jobs number. "varney & company" is about to begin. bob... oh, hey alex. just picking up some, brochures, posters copies of my acceptance speech. great! it's always good to have a backup plan, in case i get hit by a meteor. wow, your hair looks great. didn't realize they did photoshop here. hey, good call on those mugs. can't let 'em see what you're drinking. you know, i'm glad we're both running a nice, clean race. no need to get nasty. here's your "honk if you had an affair with taylor" yard sign. looks good. [ male announcer ] fedex office. now save 50% on banners. >> good thursday, everyone, october 11th, 2012. got it? with the vice-president debate less than 12 hours
the latest fox poll 6 point swing to romney and the maris poll in swing states? virginia and florida, and catching up in ohio. with 12 hours to the biden-ryan debate, if gaffe prone joe loses, that's the obama team. and if ryan loses, and don't worry says timothy geithner, america is better better than expectationed and the libyan problem not messaged once on the front of the newspaper. and that jobs number. "varney & company" is about to begin. bob... oh, hey alex. just picking...
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132
Oct 10, 2012
10/12
by
CNN
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eye 132
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so latest polls, obviously this is a good time for the romney camp. it's nice to see a big bounce after the debate. but -- and that's a big but -- polls are finicky things. and they have to know in that camp that this is the precarious position, paul. >> reporter: yeah, they're not taking anything for granted, romney campaign officials saying that, listen, they see polls go up, they see polls go down. they're staying with their same strategy. thank you for that trip down memory lane. i've been covering this race for a year and a half, so i appreciate those memories. this is interesting. the polls were starten to tighten up even before last week's debate. take a look at this, though. this is our cnn poll of polls. this averages the three national surveys of likely voters, live operator, nonpartisan surveys, and look at that, mitt romney, 48%, president obama, 47%. in the previous polls before the debate, the president had the slight advantage. that's national. what about the states? because the race for the white house is a race for the states and thei
so latest polls, obviously this is a good time for the romney camp. it's nice to see a big bounce after the debate. but -- and that's a big but -- polls are finicky things. and they have to know in that camp that this is the precarious position, paul. >> reporter: yeah, they're not taking anything for granted, romney campaign officials saying that, listen, they see polls go up, they see polls go down. they're staying with their same strategy. thank you for that trip down memory lane. i've...